All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Dennis Bays Invitational |
Franklin Invite |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
239 | |
253 |
583 |
246 |
250 |
286 |
242 |
206 |
283 |
236 |
231 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
253 |
239 |
246 |
234 |
286 |
242 |
206 |
283 |
236 |
231 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Dennis Bays Invitational |
Franklin Invite |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 13 |
Neal White |
11 |
15:51 |
16:04 |
15:46 |
|
15:32 |
15:54 |
15:55 |
15:36 |
16:04 |
15:49 |
16:09 |
15:46 |
| 66 |
Akot Tong |
12 |
16:24 |
17:09 |
16:29 |
|
16:26 |
16:15 |
16:23 |
16:36 |
16:03 |
16:32 |
16:25 |
16:25 |
| 108 |
Jace Works |
10 |
16:36 |
18:13 |
16:47 |
|
16:42 |
|
17:04 |
16:42 |
16:25 |
16:37 |
16:27 |
16:36 |
| 146 |
Draven Martinez |
11 |
16:44 |
16:41 |
17:43 |
|
16:46 |
16:43 |
16:45 |
16:35 |
16:44 |
16:53 |
16:37 |
16:44 |
| 158 |
Logan Vanzant |
10 |
16:47 |
17:21 |
16:55 |
|
16:53 |
16:51 |
17:14 |
16:50 |
16:56 |
17:13 |
16:59 |
16:40 |
| 201 |
Adam Reckers |
12 |
16:54 |
16:46 |
16:55 |
|
17:13 |
16:55 |
17:25 |
17:05 |
16:37 |
17:12 |
16:45 |
16:50 |
| 238 |
Jonny Klaus |
11 |
17:01 |
17:06 |
16:45 |
|
16:57 |
17:04 |
17:02 |
16:47 |
16:56 |
17:21 |
17:04 |
17:01 |
| 299 |
Denton Sluder |
10 |
17:13 |
17:10 |
17:10 |
|
17:23 |
17:06 |
17:14 |
17:41 |
16:55 |
|
|
|
| 305 |
Amit Gangadhara |
12 |
17:14 |
17:42 |
|
|
17:06 |
16:51 |
17:03 |
17:43 |
17:26 |
|
|
|
| 322 |
Damien Dixon |
12 |
17:17 |
18:22 |
|
17:23 |
17:25 |
17:20 |
17:14 |
17:14 |
17:08 |
|
|
|
| 419 |
Frankie Polyak |
12 |
17:30 |
17:52 |
17:36 |
|
17:40 |
17:53 |
17:29 |
17:18 |
17:07 |
|
|
|
| 423 |
Rylan Hottell |
12 |
17:30 |
17:57 |
|
17:22 |
17:58 |
17:45 |
17:27 |
17:31 |
17:07 |
|
|
|
| 445 |
Cole Stevens |
11 |
17:33 |
18:39 |
|
17:29 |
|
17:38 |
17:40 |
17:30 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
| 498 |
Evan Bense |
11 |
17:37 |
|
16:47 |
|
17:31 |
17:21 |
17:41 |
18:19 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
| 579 |
Sam Steinmetz |
10 |
17:49 |
17:55 |
|
17:29 |
17:49 |
17:21 |
17:51 |
18:13 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 760 |
Leyton Hottell |
10 |
18:04 |
18:09 |
|
17:57 |
18:28 |
17:50 |
18:05 |
17:57 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 795 |
Marco Avila |
12 |
18:08 |
18:00 |
|
17:38 |
|
18:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 860 |
Levi Carothers |
9 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:20 |
|
18:15 |
18:16 |
18:04 |
18:11 |
|
|
|
| 1,032 |
Drew Hoeflinger |
9 |
18:29 |
|
|
18:19 |
18:46 |
18:21 |
18:35 |
18:45 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 1,043 |
Liam Glyn-Jones |
9 |
18:30 |
|
|
18:32 |
18:34 |
18:27 |
18:32 |
18:30 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
| 1,196 |
Rogelio Reyes |
12 |
18:41 |
18:25 |
|
|
18:47 |
18:50 |
18:38 |
18:33 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
| 1,321 |
Justin Reckers |
9 |
18:52 |
|
|
18:50 |
18:14 |
19:00 |
19:12 |
18:50 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
| 1,395 |
Liam Dismore |
9 |
18:58 |
|
|
18:44 |
19:27 |
18:58 |
18:41 |
19:09 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
Emiliano Lopez |
12 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
19:11 |
19:33 |
19:01 |
|
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
Jack Cooper |
12 |
19:15 |
|
|
19:01 |
19:17 |
19:41 |
19:30 |
19:03 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
Trevor Rawlings |
12 |
19:25 |
|
|
20:27 |
19:27 |
19:27 |
19:02 |
19:55 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
8.9 |
277 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
7.9 |
8.6 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.5 |
106 |
15.2 |
34.5 |
32.4 |
16.7 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
32 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Neal White |
100% |
15.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Akot Tong |
100% |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
95.3% |
| Jace Works |
100% |
109.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
78.0% |
| Draven Martinez |
100% |
136.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.5% |
| Logan Vanzant |
100% |
147.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.0% |
| Adam Reckers |
100% |
168.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.9% |
| Jonny Klaus |
100% |
183.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Neal White |
100% |
4.5 |
1.4 |
14.8 |
14.2 |
14.1 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
8.9 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Akot Tong |
100% |
18.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
6.7 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jace Works |
100% |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Draven Martinez |
100% |
31.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Logan Vanzant |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Adam Reckers |
100% |
39.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonny Klaus |
100% |
44.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Neal White |
1.0 |
70.2 |
21.6 |
6.1 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Akot Tong |
4.7 |
|
2.9 |
8.7 |
19.7 |
25.2 |
26.5 |
11.0 |
4.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jace Works |
6.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
3.6 |
7.9 |
17.4 |
26.7 |
22.6 |
13.5 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Draven Martinez |
8.6 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
3.8 |
11.7 |
19.6 |
23.4 |
20.0 |
13.5 |
5.8 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logan Vanzant |
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.5 |
2.4 |
6.2 |
12.7 |
20.6 |
25.0 |
20.1 |
10.0 |
2.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adam Reckers |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
7.8 |
16.0 |
25.5 |
30.2 |
15.6 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jonny Klaus |
12.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
10.7 |
26.5 |
50.1 |
6.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
